Israel vs Iran: Who is stronger in the war? Loss calculation and comparison of military strength

Tehran/Tel Aviv: The war between Israel and Iran in the Middle East remains the center of discussion at the global level. In this conflict, which started with Israel's 'Operation Rising Lion' on June 13, both countries have caused heavy damage to each other. Iran fired more than 150 missiles on Tel Aviv under 'Operation True Promise 3' on June 14, while Israel targeted Tehran's Defense Ministry, Natanz nuclear facility, and Bushehr oil depot. But the question is: who is stronger in this war? Let's analyze the military strength, losses, and strategy of both countries.

Israel's military strength and attacks

Israel carried out airstrikes on more than 100 Iranian targets on June 13 and 15, using 200 F-35 and F-16 fighter jets, drones, and cruise missiles. The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) claimed that the uranium enrichment plant at Natanz was completely destroyed, setting Iran's nuclear program back years. In addition, Tehran's Defense Ministry, missile bases in Tabriz and Kermanshah, and oil depots in Shahran and Bushehr were destroyed.

The IDF claims that 20 top Iranian military commanders, including Revolutionary Guards (IRGC) chief Hossein Salami and army chief Major General Hossein Bagheri, were killed. Six nuclear scientists were also reported dead, although Iran only confirmed the death of the senior military intelligence chief. Satellite images show massive destruction at the missile bases in Kermanshah and Tabriz.

Israel's military strength rests on its advanced technology and defense systems. Iron Dome, David's Sling, and Arrow-3 destroyed Iranian missiles mid-air. Israel has 170,000 active troops, 465,000 reserves, and 612 aircraft, including 241 state-of-the-art fighter jets like F-35 and F-16. Its defense budget is $24.4 billion, two and a half times that of Iran's $9.95 billion.

Iran's retaliation and strength

Iran fired more than 150 ballistic missiles and 100 drones at Tel Aviv, Haifa, and Ben Gurion Airport on June 14. Iranian state news agency IRNA claimed that Haifa's oil refinery was targeted, causing heavy damage. However, Israel said that Iron Dome destroyed 90% of the missiles, and only three civilians were killed, while 90 people were injured.

Iran's military strength depends on its missile and drone capabilities. It has missiles such as the Shahab-3, Fateh-110, and Sejil (2,000 km range) that can target the entire Middle East. Iran has 610,000 active troops, 350,000 reserves, and 1,996 tanks, which outnumber Israel. However, its 551 aircraft are mostly old Soviet or Chinese designs, which are less effective than Israel's modern aircraft.

Cases of losses

  • Iran: Israeli attacks killed 215 people, mostly civilians, and injured 700. 60 deaths, including 20 children, were reported in residential areas of Tehran. The Natanz nuclear facility, two missile bases, and oil depots suffered heavy damage. 12 million cubic meters of production at the South Pars gas field was halted.
  • Israel: Iranian missile attacks caused limited damage in Tel Aviv and Haifa. Three deaths and 90 injuries. Some social media posts claimed 11 deaths and 300 injured, but it was not confirmed.

Who prevails over whom?

  • Israel's edge: Israel's advanced technology, Iron Dome, and precision air strikes give it a strategic edge. Iran's nuclear and missile program has been severely damaged, which is a big victory for Israel. Its defense budget and US support make it stronger.
  • Iran's strength: Iran's missile range and proxy groups like Hezbollah, Hamas give it regional influence. However, its outdated air force and economic sanctions limit its capability.

Global impact

This war has pushed oil prices to $80 per barrel, which is likely to increase inflation in countries like India. The Indian rupee slid to 86.30, and the stock market fell by 2%. Iran has threatened to close the Strait of Hormuz, which could put global oil supply in crisis.

Conclusion

Israel's technological and strategic edge has deeply hurt Iran militarily and economically, but Iran's counter-measures and proxy groups are not letting it down. Iran ranks 14th and Israel 17th in the Global Fire Power Index, but the outcome of the war is still uncertain. Will this war spread regionally, or will diplomacy stop it? This is the biggest question for the Middle East and global peace.

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