The US airstrikes on Iran's three major nuclear sites—Natanz, Fordo, and Isfahan—on June 22, 2025 raised tensions in the Middle East to new heights. President Donald Trump claimed that the attacks "completely destroyed" Iran's nuclear capability, but Iran called it "extremely aggressive" and warned of retaliation. Will Iran sit idly by, or will this conflict turn into a regional war? Let's analyze the situation based on facts.
US attacks: Facts and claims
The US used six B-2 bombers to drop a dozen bunker-buster bombs at Fordo, CNN reported citing a US official. Trump claimed on Truth Social that the full payload of bombs was dropped on the primary site at Fordo. Israel praised the attacks, while Iran said that Fordo suffered only "minor damage". The IAEA confirmed there was no risk of radiation leaks at Natanz and Isfahan, but the heavy water reactor at Khondab was damaged.
Iran's possible retaliation
"These attacks are outrageous and will have long-term consequences," Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi wrote on X. Iran said it was keeping all retaliatory options open, which could include:
- Attacks on US bases: Iran could launch missile and drone attacks on US military bases in countries like Iraq, Kuwait, and Bahrain, where more than 40,000 US troops are stationed, ABP News reported.
- Disrupting oil supplies: Iran threatened to close the Strait of Hormuz, which is the route for a fifth of global oil and 40% of India's oil imports. This could send oil prices to $400 a barrel.
- Accelerating nuclear program: Experts believe Iran could take steps to develop weapons using leftover nuclear technology.
Middle East tensions rise
Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Oman condemned the US attacks, but none promised military support to Iran. Pakistan called it a violation of international law and has previously threatened the US with a nuclear strike against Israel. Russia and China also condemned the attacks, and Russia has provided Iran with S-300 air defense systems. If these countries increase military support, a confrontation with the US and NATO could lead to World War III.
India and global impact
India took a neutral stance, and Prime Minister Narendra Modi appealed to Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian to de-escalate tensions. India evacuated 110 students from Iran. Closure of the Strait of Hormuz could put India's energy security at risk.
Conclusion
Iran's warning of retaliation and condemnation from regional countries are likely to further escalate tensions in the Middle East. The next 72 hours will be decisive, as moves by Russia and China could take this conflict to a global war. Peace efforts are ongoing, but the situation remains fragile.
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